Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.001116 0.001267 0.001419 0.001583 0.001755 0.001930 0.002120
2025-06-01 0.000846 0.001057 0.001278 0.001525 0.001791 0.002067 0.002374
2025-06-08 0.000665 0.000919 0.001195 0.001513 0.001864 0.002234 0.002652
2025-06-15 0.000564 0.000857 0.001186 0.001574 0.002009 0.002476 0.003008
2025-06-22 0.000431 0.000741 0.001105 0.001546 0.002051 0.002600 0.003234
2025-06-29 0.000341 0.000667 0.001066 0.001560 0.002134 0.002767 0.003503
2025-07-06 0.000310 0.000663 0.001106 0.001663 0.002319 0.003045 0.003894
2025-07-13 0.000228 0.000579 0.001042 0.001639 0.002351 0.003149 0.004090
2025-07-20 0.000149 0.000484 0.000955 0.001581 0.002341 0.003201 0.004224
2025-07-27 0.000117 0.000455 0.000951 0.001622 0.002445 0.003382 0.004501
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000400 0.000907 0.001609 0.002481 0.003484 0.004687
2025-08-10 0.000030 0.000314 0.000810 0.001524 0.002428 0.003478 0.004748
2025-08-17 0.000004 0.000246 0.000746 0.001496 0.002465 0.003604 0.004992
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000172 0.000658 0.001432 0.002457 0.003677 0.005177
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000125 0.000608 0.001416 0.002507 0.003820 0.005444
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000108 0.000609 0.001471 0.002649 0.004074 0.005842
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000070 0.000554 0.001442 0.002680 0.004193 0.006081
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000048 0.000529 0.001454 0.002762 0.004373 0.006391
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000048 0.000561 0.001553 0.002961 0.004694 0.006868
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000025 0.000515 0.001529 0.002993 0.004811 0.007102
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000006 0.000452 0.001472 0.002979 0.004869 0.007265
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000003 0.000449 0.001512 0.003094 0.005086 0.007616
2025-10-26 NaN NaN 0.000417 0.001499 0.003136 0.005211 0.007856